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Today’s avalanche problems will be wind slab, storm slabs, and persistent slab avalanches. Human triggering wind slabs will be likely, and storm slabs and persistent slabs are possible.
New snow and significant winds from last night have drastically changed conditions in the forecast zone. Remember most avalanches occur within 24-48 hours of a storm. Shooting cracks, whumping, and smooth pillow like snow, will all be red flags to watch out for today.
Coverage will still be thin at higher elevations. Any avalanche triggered could carry a person through thinly buried rocks or other hazards.
For more details of this week’s weather and the current storm check the weather tab.
Signal Word | Size (D scale) | Simple Descriptor |
Small | 1 | Unlikely to bury a person |
Large | 2 | Can bury a person |
Very Large | 3 | Can destroy a house |
Historic | 4 & 5 | Can destroy part or all of a village |
Strong S/SE winds overnight transported snow for 8 hours at upper elevations, forming small wind slabs that are 6-10” in thickness. Expect to find these on southwest through northeast aspects above 3500’. These wind slabs will be likely triggered by humans on slopes 35° degrees or steeper, natural avalanches are possible. Small winds slabs will be in specific locations on leeward aspects, with large slabs in isolated locations. These slabs could be hard to detect underneath the new snow from the tail end of the storm.
Stiff snow overlying weaker snow, wind pillows, and cracking will all be red flags for this avalanche problem. Use hand pits and pole tests to identify the presence of stiffer snow on top of weaker snow.
Signal Word | Size (D scale) | Simple Descriptor |
Small | 1 | Unlikely to bury a person |
Large | 2 | Can bury a person |
Very Large | 3 | Can destroy a house |
Historic | 4 & 5 | Can destroy part or all of a village |
Seven inches of snow fell last night at Independence mine. Cool temperatures prevented storm snow from bonding well with the old snow surface. Human triggered avalanches will be possible, natural avalanches unlikely. This avalanche problem will be found on all aspects and elevations.
Loose dry avalanches will also be a problem today. Human triggered avalanches are likely in terrain over 40 degrees.
Signal Word | Size (D scale) | Simple Descriptor |
Small | 1 | Unlikely to bury a person |
Large | 2 | Can bury a person |
Very Large | 3 | Can destroy a house |
Historic | 4 & 5 | Can destroy part or all of a village |
Recent winds and snow have stressed weak sugary snow at the bottom of the snowpack. Human triggered avalanches will be possible and natural avalanches will be unlikely. This avalanche problem will be found on all aspects and elevations but will be more prevalent at mid elevations.
The poor structure in the snowpack is still suspect. Facets at the ground still were reactive in snow pits on wednesday. This loose sugary snow at the base of the snowpack is capped with a thin melt freeze crust.
11/26 Storm snow totals
Skeetawk:
6″ new snow 1″ SWE
Independence Mine:
7″ new snow .7″ SWE
Marmot:
Max Gust: 36 mph SE Average Gust: 24mph
Average sustained winds: 12 mph
On Sunday 11/22 4” of new snow fell at independence mine. Light to moderate wind from the east blew for 8 hours Monday morning. This was able to transport some snow and create some small wind slabs. Tuesday was relatively calm with light winds and temperatures dropping into the teens. Wednesday’s winds were sustained for 14 hours, with sustained winds of 26mph and gusts upto 36 mph. This was able to scour a large amount of terrain and create some new wind slabs. Upper elevations were affected the most by these winds and coverage can be thin in some areas.
Throughout the week temperatures have been colder at higher elevations. On Monday all weather stations saw some warming with Independence Mine reading 29°F midday. Temperatures cooled again Tuesday with Marmot reaching the low teens in the morning. On Wednesday temperatures began to increase with the arrival of storm systems.
NWS Rec Forecast here.
NWS point forecast here.
State Parks Snow Report and Motorized Access information here.
Independence Mine:
11/22-11/26
|
Temp
|
RH
|
Spd
|
Gust
|
Dir
|
|
SWE
|
SnoHT
|
|
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Min | 13 | 39 | 0 | 0 | N | 4.3 | 19 | ||||
Max | 32 | 96 | 11.8 | 27.6 | N | 5.1 | 27 | ||||
Average | 23.3 | 62.5 | 4.5 | 10.6 | – |
Marmot:
|
Temp
|
RH
|
Spd
|
Gust
|
Dir
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Min | 12.8 | 37 | 1 | 4 | N |
Max | 25.7 | 99 | 23 | 38 | N |
Average | 19.9 | 72.6 | 8 | 16 | ESE |