Hatcher Pass Avalanche Center

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ARCHIVED - Forecasts expire after 24 hours.
Issued
Sat, March 23rd, 2024 - 7:00AM
Expires
Sun, March 24th, 2024 - 7:00AM
Forecaster
Allie Barker
Avalanche risk The Bottom Line

The avalanche danger is LOW and the snow is generally stable. Remember that Low danger does not mean No danger. Even small avalanches can be problematic in extreme terrain.

With daytime warming and/or greenhousing, the snow today may become wet, unsupportable, and unstable. Move off of these slopes to shadier and cooler aspects.

 

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Sat, March 23rd, 2024
Upper Elevation
Above 3,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Mid Elevation
2,500'-3,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Low Elevation
Below 2,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Sun, March 24th, 2024
Upper Elevation
Above 3,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Mid Elevation
2,500'-3,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Low Elevation
Below 2,500'
2 - Moderate
Avalanche risk
Sun, March 24th, 2024
Upper Elevation
Above 3,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Mid Elevation
2,500'-3,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Low Elevation
Below 2,500'
2 - Moderate
Avalanche risk
0 - No Rating
1 - Low
2 - Moderate
3 - Considerable
4 - High
5 - Extreme
Avalanche risk Avalanche risk Avalanche risk Avalanche risk Avalanche risk
Travel Advice Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features. Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern. Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making essential. Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended. Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain.
Likelihood of Avalanches Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely. Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible. Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely. Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely. Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.
Avalanche Size and Distribution Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain. Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas. Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas. Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas. Very large avalanches in many areas.
Recent Avalanches

Intense sunshine combined with warmer than average temperatures contributed to a natural loose wet avalanche cycle Monday through Thursday this week. Numerous D1-D1.5 sluffs (aka point release) were observed on southerly aspects, southeast to southwest, on slopes steeper than 40º. Avalanches were observed in numerous locations up Archangel Valley, Martin Mine, and Independence Mine Bowl to name a few.

3/21 Natural Loose Wet avalanche that crossed the skin track above Babe Ruth at 4500′ on SE aspect

 

3/21 Natural Loose Wet avalanches on SW aspect at 4500′-5000′ on Cross Hill and Gold Chord (in the distance) and SE aspect at 4500′ on Babe Ruth

As spring wraps the corner rapidly, cornices have been observed creeping and detaching from existing slopes.

In specific upper elevation leeward aspects, large cornices are creeping and at risk of releasing. Give cornices a wide berth!            E. Ridge of Rae Wallace 4,500. Photo: Blake Hanson

 

 

 

Avalanche Problem 1
  • Normal Caution
    Normal Caution
Normal Caution
Normal Caution means triggering an avalanche is unlikely but not impossible.
More info at Avalanche.org

Our general Normal Caution wording reads as follows: This is not a specific avalanche problem. It is used by HPAC forecasters most often when avalanche conditions are generally safe and there is no predominant avalanche problem. Any avalanche type is possible but the most common problem today would be loose wet or wind slab avalanches and they would be expected to be small.  Continue to keep your guard up and look for any signs of snow instability. Evaluate snow and weather conditions as you travel.

Wet avalanches may be possible with warming today. If the snow becomes unsupportable and unstable, seek low angle terrain. Clouds will predominate the weather pattern today combined with light wind, keeping snow surfaces cool and frozen at mid and upper elevation.  Expect snow surfaces to soften at low elevation in the afternoon.  If the sun makes a presence, expect small wet loose avalanches to be possible to trigger in steep terrain on southerly aspects at all elevations. Rollerballs and pinwheels are obvious precursors to wet loose avalanches.

Cornices become tender and unstable during periods of sun and heating. Give them a wide berth. Cornice fall has been observed in a few locations this week.
Weather
Sat, March 23rd, 2024

Independence Mine @ 3550′ showing high and low temperatures this week


NWS AVG Forecast here.

NWS point forecast here.

Marmot Weather Station here.

Independence Mine Snotel here.

Frostbite Bottom Snotel here.

State Parks Snow Report and Motorized Access information here.

XC trail grooming report for Mat-Su, Anchorage, and Kenai here.

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