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The avalanche danger is LOW and the snow is generally stable. Remember that Low danger does not mean No danger. Even small avalanches can be problematic in extreme terrain.
With daytime warming and/or greenhousing, the snow today may become wet, unsupportable, and unstable. Move off of these slopes to shadier and cooler aspects.
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Sun, March 24th, 2024 |
Travel Advice | Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features. | Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern. | Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making essential. | Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended. | Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain. |
Likelihood of Avalanches | Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely. | Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible. | Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely. | Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely. | Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain. |
Avalanche Size and Distribution | Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain. | Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas. | Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas. | Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas. | Very large avalanches in many areas. |
Intense sunshine combined with warmer than average temperatures contributed to a natural loose wet avalanche cycle Monday through Thursday this week. Numerous D1-D1.5 sluffs (aka point release) were observed on southerly aspects, southeast to southwest, on slopes steeper than 40º. Avalanches were observed in numerous locations up Archangel Valley, Martin Mine, and Independence Mine Bowl to name a few.
As spring wraps the corner rapidly, cornices have been observed creeping and detaching from existing slopes.
Our general Normal Caution wording reads as follows: This is not a specific avalanche problem. It is used by HPAC forecasters most often when avalanche conditions are generally safe and there is no predominant avalanche problem. Any avalanche type is possible but the most common problem today would be loose wet or wind slab avalanches and they would be expected to be small. Continue to keep your guard up and look for any signs of snow instability. Evaluate snow and weather conditions as you travel.
Wet avalanches may be possible with warming today. If the snow becomes unsupportable and unstable, seek low angle terrain. Clouds will predominate the weather pattern today combined with light wind, keeping snow surfaces cool and frozen at mid and upper elevation. Expect snow surfaces to soften at low elevation in the afternoon. If the sun makes a presence, expect small wet loose avalanches to be possible to trigger in steep terrain on southerly aspects at all elevations. Rollerballs and pinwheels are obvious precursors to wet loose avalanches.