Hatcher Pass Avalanche Center

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ARCHIVED - Forecasts expire after 24 hours.
Issued
Sat, April 6th, 2019 - 7:00AM
Expires
Sun, April 7th, 2019 - 7:00AM
Forecaster
HPAC Staff
Avalanche risk The Bottom Line

The avalanche danger today is LOW today. Natural and human triggered avalanches will be unlikely. Low danger does not mean No danger! Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain, in the afternoon.  Several nights of freezing overnight temps combined with cooler daytime temps will keep previously wet snow locked up with stout crusts 3-8″ thick on E to W aspects.  Travel may be challenging today on firm surfaces until warmed by afternoon temps if the sun pops out. Cornices are still large and unpredictable, give them a wide berth.

Sat, April 6th, 2019
Upper Elevation
Above 3,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Mid Elevation
2,500'-3,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Low Elevation
Below 2,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
0 - No Rating
1 - Low
2 - Moderate
3 - Considerable
4 - High
5 - Extreme
Avalanche risk Avalanche risk Avalanche risk Avalanche risk Avalanche risk
Travel Advice Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features. Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern. Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making essential. Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended. Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain.
Likelihood of Avalanches Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely. Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible. Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely. Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely. Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.
Avalanche Size and Distribution Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain. Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas. Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas. Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas. Very large avalanches in many areas.
Recent Avalanches

The most significant natural and human triggered wet-loose and natural wet-slabs cycle occurred last weekend, March 30-31, and early this week. Significantly cooler temps, freezing overnight, and cooler daytime temps have frozen most surfaces at all elevations since Wednesday, limiting avalanche activity later in the week.

Avalanche Problem 1
  • Cornice
    Cornice
Cornice
Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.
More info at Avalanche.org

Cornices are large and can be difficult and dangerous to assess.  Cutting cornices of this size as a stability tool is not recommended nor effective.  We recommend avoiding travelling beneath them, especially during the warmest part of the day.

Avalanche Problem 2
  • Dry Loose
    Dry Loose
Dry Loose
Dry Loose avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.
More info at Avalanche.org

If the sun pops out and temps rise enough to melt surface crusts, wet loose sluffs may be possible to human trigger on steep southerly aspects today at low and mid elevation. Fortunately, the snowpack gives us clues when the it becomes wet enough to be a problem. Rollerballs, and wet soggy snow are red flags for when to move to shadier aspects and cooler terrain. Freezing nights and cooler daytime temps will keep wet avalanches to a minimum today.

Weather
Sat, April 6th, 2019

NWS Rec Forecast here.

NWS point forecast here.

State Parks Snow Report and Motorized Access information here.

Observations
Recent Observations for Hatcher Pass