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Large Glide avalanches have been naturally releasing. Many areas of Hatcher Pass resemble a war zone. Check out the observation page and social media for numerous posts including pictures.
Large, natural Glide avalanches will continue to be possible in specific areas. These avalanches may release now, or in a month, no one can accurately predict the timing of release.
What you can do to increase your safety margin: Avoid being under or on any location with an existing glide crack in the snowpack. Glide avalanches may run farther than you think, and may run down a slope and overrun flat terrain. Ensure you are not in the runnout of a possible glide avalanche. These cracks are fairly easy to identify, with a large upside down frown of a crack, resembling a crevasse, sometimes showing the dark ground surface. Review the pictures on the observation page for great examples of what to look for.
Welcome to the new HPAC website! This site is made possible with a donation from the Friends of the Chugach Avalanche Center through a grant from the Mat-Su Trails and Park Foundation.
NEWS! HPAC is now it’s own non-profit 501(c)3 organization* and we need your support now more than ever. Our goal this season is to continue our usual weekend forecasts, and we need your help to make that happen. Please consider donating or contact us at info@hpavalanche.org if your business is interested in sponsoring a weekend forecast.
HPAC’s regular weekend forecasts will begin Saturday, November 16. Until then, we will have intermittent updates, so bookmark the page, subscribe at the bottom of the page, and check back here regularly.
The Southcentral Alaska Avalanche Workshop is coming this Friday, November 8th from 9am-4:30pm at the University of Alaska Anchorage Lucy Cuddy Hall (3400 Seawolf Dr., Anchorage). The afternoon session (1-4:30pm) is FREE and geared to backcountry users as well as professionals.
*HPAC used to operate under the non-profit, Alaska Avalanche Information Center.
Travel Advice | Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features. | Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern. | Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making essential. | Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended. | Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain. |
Likelihood of Avalanches | Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely. | Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible. | Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely. | Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely. | Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain. |
Avalanche Size and Distribution | Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain. | Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas. | Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas. | Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas. | Very large avalanches in many areas. |
Numerous Glide Avalanches have been releasing, with the most recent report from November 2. See video below.
Check out the numerous observations on the Observations page for more information and pictures of various, recent Glide Avalanches. If you are out and about Hatcher Pass, please submit your observations with the community and the avalanche center. If posting to social media, add the #hpavy to make it easy to find Hatcher Pass snow related information.
Signal Word | Size (D scale) | Simple Descriptor |
Small | 1 | Unlikely to bury a person |
Large | 2 | Can bury a person |
Very Large | 3 | Can destroy a house |
Historic | 4 & 5 | Can destroy part or all of a village |
Glide avalanches occur when the entire snowpack slowly slides as a unit on the ground. Glide avalanches can be composed of wet, moist or almost entirely dry snow and pose a hazard that is very difficult to forecast and predict. They are often preceded by glide cracks (full depth cracks in the snowpack), though the time between the appearance of a crack and an avalanche can very between second and months.
As a general rule, avoid being under or on any location where glide cracks are present, and glide avalanches are present. Some portions of glide avalanches that have already occurred, actually still have portions that have not yet released and therefore still pose a threat. Glide avalanches may run farther than you think, and may run down a slope and overrun flat terrain. Ensure you are not in the runnout of a possible glide avalanche. These cracks are fairly easy to identify, with a large upside down frown of a crack, resembling a crevasse, sometimes showing the dark ground surface. Review the pictures on the observation page for great examples of what to look for.
You will notice a pattern to the location of Glide Avalanches. They tend to be occurring on steep slopes, 35º and steeper, on slopes with smooth ground surfaces, such as grass or rock slabs, and the majority reside near an old rain line of approximately 4000´, with some as high as 4500′.
The current snowpack structure is entirely composed of rounded grains, melt freeze crusts, and ice lenses. Basically, there’s not a single facet in there, which is extremely rare! We currently have 2-3+ feet of snow as a base. Most of this seasons precipitation has fallen during periods of warm temperatures, sometimes as rain. A wet to moist snowpack, warm temps, and early (and now deep) snow insulating a warm ground surface are all contributing to the Glide Avalanche problem. This problem is not likely to go away soon.
The good news is, that where Glide Avalanches are not occurring or forming, the stability is quite good. We are still in the ealry stages of developing a thorough understanding of the snowpack, but testing has been fairly consistent, and each snowstorm has bonded well to older snow surfaces.
There is a structural flaw at the base of the snowpack, where weaker snow is sitting under stronger snow, and this is the layer that is creeping and failing in the Glide Avalanches. Its important to recognize that Hatcher Pass has seen a lot of backcountry traveler activity without human triggered avalanche results. Add that to good overall structure in the snowpack, a lack of typical weak layers, and a lack of propagation results and we are trending towards forecasting good stability in areas that lack glide cracks and glide avalanches.