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Today’s avalanche problems are wind slab and dry loose.
Small, soft wind slabs will be possible to trigger at upper elevations on leeward aspects. Moderate gusting winds this morning are forecasted through the day which will increase this hazard toward the afternoon.
Small dry loose avalanches (sluffs) will be possible to trigger on all aspects on slopes 40° and steeper.
Continue to practice safe travel habits: one at a time across the slope, get out of the way at the bottom, make a plan.
6″ of new snow this week has improved riding conditions, although a generally shallow snowpack and rock hazards still exist.
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Travel Advice | Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features. | Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern. | Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making essential. | Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended. | Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain. |
Likelihood of Avalanches | Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely. | Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible. | Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely. | Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely. | Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain. |
Avalanche Size and Distribution | Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain. | Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas. | Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas. | Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas. | Very large avalanches in many areas. |
There were three human triggered avalanches this week.
On Thursday, 1/21 a small dry loose (sluff) was human triggered on Presidents. See pic below. This was a slow moving sluff.
On Monday 1/18, two small human triggered wind slabs were reported on lower thousand dollar run, North 3000′. Click here for more info.
On Tuesday 1/19, a small human triggered soft slab was observed on Presidents Ridge, ENE 2800′. Click here for more info.
Signal Word | Size (D scale) | Simple Descriptor |
Small | 1 | Unlikely to bury a person |
Large | 2 | Can bury a person |
Very Large | 3 | Can destroy a house |
Historic | 4 & 5 | Can destroy part or all of a village |
Small, 1-4″ soft wind slab avalanches will be possible to human trigger at the upper elevations, near ridgeline, on leeward aspects. By the end of day the thickness of wind slabs may reach 3-6″.
Shooting cracks are a red flag for this problem. To identify this avalanche problem, look for smooth, drifted snow and firmer snow overlying weaker snow. Pole tests and hand pits can quickly identify this problem. Proper slope cuts can be an effective tool for mitigating this hazard, but requires skill.
Overnight winds were ESE/E which will have distributed small wind slabs on W to NW aspects. Winds are forecasted to gust at moderate speeds through today which will continue to transport snow and slowly build these soft wind slabs.
A change in the wind direction may occur, which could broaden the distribution of this problem. Today’s wind direction may shift to NE, which would transport available snow and build small wind slabs on South to West aspects.
A highly variable snow depth means rocks and hazards are exposed in many locations. These hazards compound the risk of triggering any avalanche if caught and carried.
Signal Word | Size (D scale) | Simple Descriptor |
Small | 1 | Unlikely to bury a person |
Large | 2 | Can bury a person |
Very Large | 3 | Can destroy a house |
Historic | 4 & 5 | Can destroy part or all of a village |
Small, loose dry avalanches (sluffs) are possible on all aspects and at all elevations, on slopes 40° and steeper.
New low density snow from 1/20 has been settling with warm temperatures. This will make sluffs more difficult to trigger than a couple days ago, but is still possible in steeper terrain. See picture of loose dry avalanche under recent avalanches.
New snow totals 1/17-21
Independence Mine: 6″ of new snow
3000′ temps expected to be hovering around freezing. Winds are gusting moderate this morning at the upper elevations and expected to continue through the day tapering off this evening. A shift in wind direction is possible to day, from East this morning to NE this afternoon.
A 30% chance of snow today with little to no accumulation. Snow is forecasted for low elevation, but could be a rain mix if temps climb. Tonight 1-3″ of snow is expected at all elevations.
Marmot 4500′ 24 hr winds
Independence Mine
NWS Rec Forecast here.
NWS point forecast here.
State Parks Snow Report and Motorized Access information here.