Hatcher Pass Avalanche Center

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ARCHIVED - Forecasts expire after 24 hours.
Issued
Thu, April 14th, 2022 - 7:00AM
Expires
Fri, April 15th, 2022 - 7:00AM
Forecaster
Jake Kayes
Avalanche risk The Bottom Line

Today the avalanche danger is low. Natural and human triggered avalanches are unlikely.

Expect a little bit of everything when it comes to riding conditions. North aspects have cold low density snow and southerly aspects will stout crusts that will soften in the afternoon. Choose your aspect wisely and you could have a great day out in the mountains.

Remember low danger doesn’t mean no danger.

Special Announcements

Saturday April 16th will be the final forecast of the season.

Thu, April 14th, 2022
Upper Elevation
Above 3,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Mid Elevation
2,500'-3,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Low Elevation
Below 2,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
0 - No Rating
1 - Low
2 - Moderate
3 - Considerable
4 - High
5 - Extreme
Avalanche risk Avalanche risk Avalanche risk Avalanche risk Avalanche risk
Travel Advice Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features. Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern. Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making essential. Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended. Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain.
Likelihood of Avalanches Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely. Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible. Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely. Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely. Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.
Avalanche Size and Distribution Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain. Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas. Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas. Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas. Very large avalanches in many areas.
Recent Avalanches

No recent avalanches have been reported or observed this week.

Avalanche Problem 1
  • Normal Caution
    Normal Caution
Normal Caution
Normal Caution means triggering an avalanche is unlikely but not impossible.
More info at Avalanche.org

With warm temperatures during the day small loose wet avalanches are possible in isolated areas at lower and mid elevations on south aspects. These avalanches will be found on slopes 35 degrees and steeper. Timing will be important to avoid triggering or being caught in a wet loose avalanche.

Over the last few days temperatures have peaked around 2pm at all weather stations.  Pay attention to temperatures to see how well southerly aspects are freezing/refreezing. On April 11th Marmot weather station reached a high of 41ºF at 4pm. All weather stations in the forecast zone are achieving freezing temps at night time. 

Marmot Station 4500′

Here are a few things to remember if you decide to travel in the mountains today.

  • Continue to give cornices a wide berth, they can break back further than anticipated. 
  • Southerly slopes will have stout crusts that will make for challenging riding while frozen, in the afternoon snow surfaces will begin to soften. Timing is critical for good riding conditions.
  • North aspects still have cold dry snow that can make for some great riding conditions! Don’t forget your compass to help find some powder stashes. 
  • Always carry the appropriate rescue gear and know how to use it.

The southwest face of Marmot is a good example of a slope that will have a stout frozen crust in the morning.

While some snow on north aspects may look textured it can provide great riding conditions.

There’s still a ton of snow in Hatcher Pass.

 

Weather
Thu, April 14th, 2022

NWS AVG Forecast here.

NWS Rec Forecast here.

NWS point forecast here.

State Parks Snow Report and Motorized Access information here.

Observations
Recent Observations for Hatcher Pass