Hatcher Pass Avalanche Center

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ARCHIVED - Forecasts expire after 24 hours.
Issued
Sat, April 16th, 2022 - 7:00AM
Expires
Sun, April 17th, 2022 - 7:00AM
Forecaster
Allie Barker
Avalanche risk The Bottom Line

The avalanche danger remains LOW at all elevations. Natural and human triggered avalanches are unlikely.

Cooler temps, calm to light winds, and scattered clouds will keep snow surfaces firm today on south, east, and west aspects. The best riding can be found on due north aspects and low angle terrain.

Although you’ll be hard pressed to find an avalanche problem today, we recommend maintaining safe travel protocol while anticipating changing springtime conditions over the next several weeks including wet avalanches, cornice fall, and glide cracks.

Special Announcements

This is the last forecast for the season. We will continue to publish observations and encourage anyone to submit one who gets out into the backcountry.

DOT will begin clearing the road on Monday, April 18th. The road will be closed at Mile 11 and staging crews will be using the Goldmint lot for their machinery. DOT anticipates this to take a week or more.

Sat, April 16th, 2022
Upper Elevation
Above 3,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Mid Elevation
2,500'-3,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
Low Elevation
Below 2,500'
1 - Low
Avalanche risk
0 - No Rating
1 - Low
2 - Moderate
3 - Considerable
4 - High
5 - Extreme
Avalanche risk Avalanche risk Avalanche risk Avalanche risk Avalanche risk
Travel Advice Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features. Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern. Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making essential. Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended. Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain.
Likelihood of Avalanches Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely. Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible. Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely. Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely. Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.
Avalanche Size and Distribution Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain. Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas. Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas. Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas. Very large avalanches in many areas.
Recent Avalanches

No recent avalanches have been observed or reported this week due to cooler weather.

4/15 Solar warming and snowmelt on Idaho Peak

 

4/15 Conditions are warming up very slowly

Avalanche Problem 1
  • Normal Caution
    Normal Caution
Normal Caution
Normal Caution means triggering an avalanche is unlikely but not impossible.
More info at Avalanche.org

The snow is generally stable and the avalanche danger is LOW.

It’s hard to believe it is mid-April with the amount of snow left in the pass.

Looking forward: Pay attention to rapidly changing springtime conditions.

As spring progresses and the temperature warms up, expect avalanche danger to change. Once it ceases to freeze at night for approximately 3 nights in a row, pay attention to and keep a lookout for wet avalanche problems. We don’t anticipate this happening until May, but it is on our radar.

No matter the avalanche danger its always a good idea to follow safe travel protocol:

  • Make a plan.
  • Ski/ride one at a time.
  • Carry and know how to use your rescue equipment.

4/15 Lots of snow left on Marmot Mountain

 

4/15 An abundant amount of snow still exists on the Willow side of Hatcher with great riding!

 

7 feet of snow still exists at the Hatcher Pass lodge snow stake as of 4/15.

 

It’s been a historical snow year for Hatcher Pass. graph courtesy of NRCS

 

graph courtesy of NRCS

Avalanche concerns in the spring can become complicated.  Four concerns to be aware of include:

1.Loose Wet Avalanches- Loose wet avalanches are typically the first avalanches we see as the snowpack warms up. They can be triggered by snow heating up especially near rocks and cliffs on steep slopes.  While they are relatively small and manageable on their own, they can be dangerous if they pick up enough volume, or if they push you into terrain traps. They can also trigger larger slab avalanches as they travel downhill. They are typically preceded by rollerballs or pinwheels rolling down slopes as they heat up. This in an easily avoidable avalanche problem.

2. Wet Slabs – Wet slab avalanches occur when meltwater from rain or warm temperatures percolate down through the snowpack and weaken the bonds (strength) of a buried weak layer. These avalanches can be human-triggered, but also occur naturally, including triggering from a small, wet-loose avalanche or cornice fall.  Colder temperatures should lock up the snowpack this morning, but strong sunshine today could provide enough warming to trigger isolated wet slabs. These could occur on any aspect facing west, south, through east, as well as northerly aspects at any elevation.
3. Glide Avalanches – A separate but related avalanche problem is glide avalanches. When they happen is mostly unpredictable, however, where they happen is generally predictable because there is often a huge crack in the snowpack. Common places to find glide avalanches are places with rock slabs or a smooth ground surface which are common in much of the terrain at Hatcher Pass. Simply avoid being under these places or any slope with a visible glide crack.
4. Cornices – Cornices in some places are massive, and they can break off naturally, especially during warm weather when they start bending downhill. Simply avoid being underneath or near the tops of large cornices as they break farther back than expected.
Weather
Sat, April 16th, 2022

NWS AVG Forecast here.

NWS Rec Forecast here.

NWS point forecast here.

State Parks Snow Report and Motorized Access information here.

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